I'm an old Napa Valley veteran and long time UO lover. I started playing on this server a few weeks back, and so far am having a blast. However, after partaking in both PvP and PvM as well as browsing the forums, I just thought I'd share a few thoughts I have on this shard.
For a seasoned veteran, staying alive and making money isn't too difficult, but advancement seems to be capped relatively quickly. This is kind of concerning, especially for new(ish) players, for shard longevity I feel. It seems, to me, this shard can be split up into three distinct categories:
1.) The New Players - New players who don't have a history with Ultima Online and are playing this game through either word of mouth or by random chance.
2.) UO Veterans, but with no established history on this server (I probably fall into this one here)
3.) Shard veterans who are insanely rich and/or bored with nothing to do as a result of a dwindling population.
Now while I respect everyone in #3's ambition, I feel it presents a pretty daunting atmosphere for groups #1 and #2 to feel that they have a shot in hell to be able to compete. Group 3 is so well established with resources, gold, relationships, real estate, etc. that they have such a strong stranglehold on the economy, IDOCs, PvP, PvM, and overall shard direction. It creates an invisible ceiling for the other players (at a pretty quick start) to advance, and could be driving factor of why there's a lot of new player turnover.
Now, is the group #3's fault? Not really. If you put yourself in their shoes, making money and doing IDOCs is probably one of the last things left available to you that presents an ongoing challenge. Afterall, what is the point of playing UO with no challenge?

Solutions?
Well, that's kind of a tricky subject, since obviously group #3 has worked their asses off to become as rich/powerful as they are, and to enact some sort of socialist wealth spread would be demeaning to their years of efforts, but I think even some/most people in group 3 would say having more entertaining value/activity at the cost of amassing more pointless wealth to them would be a tradeoff they'd take in a heartbeat. This brings me to my point about the IDOC!
I noticed one day that a large group of houses (castles, towers, patios, etc.) went from Greatly Worn to IDOC (in danger of collapsing). If you run north of Minoc, just past the stablemaster, you'll find a large span of houses that are all close to collapsing (shared refresh times?). Now, I'm not sure if someone owns these and will refresh them, but I think it could be a good chance for newer/ish players to get a piece of the action, rather than keeping this information secret amongst the megarich/megabored IDOC community in group 3.
If I had to estimate when they were going to fall, I would say roughly between 5am-10am CST (Central Standard Time) on Feb 26th, but that could be way off, it's just an educated guess, as I don't bother IDOC'ing with precise accuracy.
Anyway, as this is an open forum, please leave your thoughts about the first half of this post! I will try to post some pictures/directions when I get a chance. Please, though, try to keep it civil and constructive is all I ask. Thank you for reading and best of luck to everyone!